Sooner Blue

Mostly politics, a few current events, a squirt of seltzer down yer pants .. a little blog for my rambles and rants.

2008/9/9

Yeah, I know, I saw them...

@ 10:43 AM (58 months, 3 days ago)

The new polls are showing the race either tied or with a narrow McCain lead:
 
The new ABC/Washington Post poll gives McCain a 49%-47% lead among likely voters, with a ±4% margin of error. Two weeks ago, just before the Democratic Convention began, Obama had a 49%-45% lead with likely voters.
 
The new CBS poll has McCain up 46%-44%, with a ±4% margin of error. Two and a half weeks ago, Obama had a 45%-42% lead.
 
The new Hotline/Diageo poll has the race tied at 44% each. Two weeks ago, Obama had a 44%-40% lead.
 
Lest we forget -- McCain went out of his way to trample on the Democratic convention, the success of Obama's speech and distract everyone the morning after when he dropped his Palin bomb to dilute whatever bounce Obama got.
 
Okay, convention bounces are not permanent things...McCain's is the result of going second, bathing in the spotlight and getting positive coverage for a whole week.
 
There are still eight weeks to go. Besides, if you get a big convention bounce based on lies and distortions...maybe the harder you'll fall.
 
So, for now, his Palin bump has pulled him ahead in the polls. All those dispirited R's who were going to stay home on election day are fired up now.
 
Now, if only Obama had picked Hillary as VP like I wanted him to, he could've robbed McCain of Palin's thunder...and he would've cemented Hillary's base of women voters.
 
Of course, there is no evidence that centrist women are now flocking to Palin. Working class and Democratic women still support Obama. Most Republican women would never vote for a Democrat anyway...millions, in fact.
 
What the Democrats are losing may be enthusiasm among Democratic women, but they are not losing women. They need to put Hillary out there. And Bill is waiting in the wings...
 
It's conservative and moderate men who love Palin. Conservatives have long pined for a pro-life Maggie Thatcher type, and now they think they found one.
 
No matter who wins, I think in the end, it's these two decisions -- Hillary and Palin -- that will be analyzed for years to come.
 

"The American people aren't stupid"

@ 08:11 AM (58 months, 3 days ago)

Barack Obama spoke in Flint, Michigan yesterday and for the second time in three days, challenged the Republican message of "change."
 
McCain/Palin just keep chuggin' along, making claims they know are false. But they tell these lies with such conviction that people eat it up...not remembering that past actions have reflected nothing but the same. The same scandals...the same gutter politics...the same exaggeration, manipulation and deception.
 
The John McCain and Sarah Palin that Obama is running against are not real people...they are like made-up TV show characters.
 
The more the McCain/Palin ticket tries to latch onto/steal Obama's message of change -- hoping no one notices their being glued to 90 percent of Bush&Cheney's policies -- the more Obama speaks out and questions the Republican version of "change" and hammers at Sarah Palin's lies/flip-flops.
 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TVWuZE-OPgQ
 
"She's you know, an up and comer from Alaska," Obama said. "They're starting to run an ad now saying she opposed the Bridge to Nowhere. Well now, let's get the facts clear here. When she was mayor, she hired a Washington lobbyist to get earmarks -- pork-barrel spending. All the things that John McCain says is bad, she lobbied to get! And got a whole lot of it. When it came to the bridge to nowhere, she was for it until everybody started raising a fuss about it and she started running for governor and then suddenly she was against it.
 
"You remember that? For it before you were against it?" Obama added. "I mean, you can't just make stuff up. You can't just recreate yourself. You can't just reinvent yourself. The American people aren't stupid."
 
I'd like to see him keep using that phrase...even if I'm not sure it's true. The majority of us voted George W. Bush in twice...and enough voters bought the Swift Boat crap in 2004 to sway an election.
 
Who was it who said it's impossible to underestimate the intelligence of the American public?